Friday, October 21, 2016

Was there a secret US government research group?

Hi,

As blog readers will be aware, I am currently writing a series of blogs derived from material I come across while reading Jacque Vallee's recent book, 'Forbidden Science-Volume three.'

This post will explore the question of whether or not, there was a secret US government UFO research program in the 1970's and 1980's, using both Volumes Two and Three of 'Forbidden Science.'

As readers of 'Forbidden Science' will be aware, the books are in the form of diary entries which Vallee wrote, either at the time, or within a short time of the events he describes. I will quote the exact words used in these entries, sourcing the page number and date. As you read through twenty year of time, from 1970 to 1989, be aware of the changes which occur within Vallee's thinking on the question of whether or not there was a secret US government research group during those decades.

Currently , many UAP researchers would answer in the affirmative, to the question as to whether there is a such a secretive research group behind the scenes today. Their views, are to a large degree founded on what researchers of the likes of Vallee, were thinking many years ago.


Vallee's diaries

1. (Vallee writing about Howell McConnell.)

'He asked me if I'd ever heard of a group based at Wright-Patterson which is supposed to do secret analyses on behalf of the Air Force. He's heard that the office in question confiscated UFO negatives in order to analyze them secretly.' (Volume two. p.160. Dated 28 October 1972.)


2. (Vallee in discussion with Hal Puthoff.)

'If there was a project actively investigating UFOs within the government I didn't want to step on their toes.

"Well, yes, there is such a project, " Hal finally admitted. "In fact they call me from time to time to find out what my psychics have to say on the subject and do remote viewing of certain places where they think there may be UFO bases...They have an official charter..." Hal went to a public phone and called someone in Washington. He wrote down a name on a piece of paper: David M..."That's one of the men in charge."...No contact with David M. He told Hal that his unit was being disbanded "because of the current events" (Watergate?), but he remained "Very interested in Vallee's long-term approach."' (Volume two. pp209-212. 16 & 27 October 1973.)


3. 'Spurred on by our conversation at the Perfect Recipe, Hal Puthoff tells me he has found the leader of the CIA group that monitors the UFO field. The team used to be under David "M", a middle-level manager who became overly excited when the recent wave struck...he was pushed aside and another man, a biologist, was put in charge. Hal says the new man doesn't want to see me yet.' (Volume two. p 214. 17 November 1973.)


Note: This new man sounds like Dr Christopher (Kit) Green, as Hal had Vallee meet Green on 11 February 1974.

(Vallee in disscussion with Kit Green.)

'The most important thing I learned was that Green had counterparts in every branch of the Executive. Like Howell McConnell, they mainly operated "out of personal interest," with the blessing of higher-level managers...'

Vallee went on. "Don't you agree there must be a secret effort somewhere?" He thought about it for a while."Yes," he finally said, "I do agree with that statement. In my group we've wondered if it wasn't being run within private industry."' (Volume two.  p 237. 11 February 1974.) 


4. Vallee records that he went to the CIA and met with David M. and colleague Mary S. 'the people in the room knew less than I did...' (Volume two. p.243.  21 March 1974.)


5. Hal Puthoff relays a message from Kit Green to Vallee. "...you ought to know there's a group of 12 highly-placed people in the government who've decided to create a focus for the study of UFOs, with full access and funding for researchers like you." (Volume two. p 254. 2 June 1974.)


6. 'Kit and I drove over to the Marriott to meet David M. and "Sams," who was introduced to me as a member of the new "Group of Twelve"'...I realized they were all space cadets, talking about pedestrian research worthy of the old Nicap...' (Volume two. p255. 16 June 1974.)


7. 'Hynek has gone to see Donald Rumsfeld at the White House. ...Allen described the work of the Center.,.. Therefore he had the need to know if there was a secret study somewhere. Rumsfeld replied abruptly: "You do NOT have a need to know." Now Allen wonders if the man was reacting purely as a  bureaucrat, or if he really knew something.' (Volume two. p293. 13 April 1975.)


8. (Vallee receives a call from an individual at McDonnell-Douglas Astronautics.)

Vallee writes. 'They have an on-going secret project, well funded, with the blessing and official monitoring of the CIA and they're discreetly connected with major UFO groups...' (Source: Vallee. Forbidden Science volume two. p.412. 8 June 1978.)


9. 'Kit has been told that the Agency didn't have a mission to monitor the subject...which brings us back to the big question: If these guys actually know nothing, who the hell is in charge?' (Source: Vallee. Forbidden Science Volume two. p 417. 29 January 1978.)


10. 'A great deal of activity, if not research, is indeed going on about UFOs among government organizations...McDonnell-Douglas is continuing their quite but well-funded study with John Schuessler, also monitored by the agency. They seem to be looking for exotic alloys.' (Volume two. pp439-440. 15 October 1978.)


11. 'The intelligence agencies of several countries, notably the U.S., the U.K. and France (often acting in concert) encouraged a few private scientists and physicians drawn from UFO groups and aerospace companies to conduct semi-official, deniable full investigations.' (Volume two. p.491 "Reflections.")


12. 'Over lunch with Hal Puthoff at SRI, I told him I no longer believed the government had an ongoing UFO project. He has reached similar conclusions.'  (Volume three.' p.32. 21 May 1980.)


13. (With Kit Green.)

'We discussed the possibility that a secret project existed somewhere either in France or here. Kit remains sceptical.' (Volume three. p.75. 6 September 1981.)


14. 'Dick Haines told me about a recent visit to Vandenberg Air Force base. He came back certain there was a secret government project to study UFOs.' (Source: Vallee. Forbidden Science. Volume three. p. 93. 6 April 1982.)


15. (Vallee.)

'I have drawn two conclusions from the Toulouse meeting: first, Richard Niemtzow has convinced me that there was a secret project within the US government.' (Volume three. p.197. 6 July 1985.)


16. (Discussing John B Alexander's group.)

'...they came to the conclusion there must be a secret UFO project, somewhere else!(Volume three. p.199. 24 July 1985.)


17. (McMann - number two at the CIA, was asked):

'Are other groups already doing it?' [Studying UFOs.] He responded "No." (Vallee writes.) "This surprised us: there must be an investigation somewhere and if McMann doesn't know about it, who does?"  (Volume three. p. 228. 23 March 1986.)


18. (Quoting Joe McMoneagle - best remote viewer in the Army.)

'There must be a higher level of authority that controls UFO data.' (Volume three. p.316. 26 March 1988.)


19. (Quoting Hal Puthoff.)

'No body with any brains seems to be tracking this...' Vallee then writes, 'I disagree with him.'
 (Volume three. p 407. 11 July 1989.)


20. (Vallee writes.)

'If Lundahl is unaware of a black project, if Kit has come up with nothing, if Admiral Houser and General Tommy Johnson strongly deny ever being briefed about any high-level UFO threat that leaves me with no evidence, not even the hint that a black project is active.' (Volume three. p.435. 17 September 1989.)


21. (Vallee writes.)

'I am as puzzled as ever: there is evidence of a large disinformation campaign. It must be designed to cover-up something, but when I peer behind the fence I can find no trace of what is supposed to be covering up.' (Volume three. p.436. 17 September 1989.)

Sunday, October 2, 2016

Long lost Australian Department of Defence UAP policy file found!

Hi all,

AF84/3508

In a post dated 1 September 2016, I mentioned one outcome of a 2004 Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) request to the Australian Department of Defence (DOD). This was, that in asking for a copy of numerous UAP files, they had advised me that one file, numbered AF84/3508 was unable to be located. Over the years since then, it never did turn up. Until now.

Recently, Melbourne researcher Paul Dean, forwarded me the results of one of his FOIA requests to the DOD. Among the various chains of internal back and forth emails responding to Paul's request, I noted a reference to the long lost file. In November 2015, the file was stated to have been renumbered as 2007/1008750 and was then held at the DOD archives.

A new FOIA request

I therefore submitted an application under the FOIA for a copy of this file. The DOD promptly provided me with a PDF copy of the file, and at no cost. What is in these 54 pages?

It turns out that this file is a policy file, containing no sighting reports, merely policy documents. We have long been aware of the main DOD/RAAF UAP policy file series, number A703, control symbol 554/1/30 parts 1-3, with a date range of 1953-1983. Digitised copies are available in the National Archives of Australia. 

So what is on this file?

pp53-54. Memo 12 April 1984. From Deputy Chief of the Air Staff to HQ OC and HQSC. Subject UAS policy. 'Enclosure 1 states the amended RAAF policy on UAS.' Essentially this was, that as from 1984 only sightings with defence or security implications would be investigated further than Formation HQ.

 pp51-52. Minute. 9 July 1993. From HQ Training Command to DAFPOL. HQFBN are requesting a policy review.

pp47-50. Minute. August 1993. From B Biddington AFPOL3 to DAFPOL. Re UAS policy and proposed changes. Draft.

'The nub of current policy is that RAAF only investigates UAS reports deemed to have defence or national security significance (whatever that means). I do not know when the RAAF last conducted a thorough UAS investigation.'

' For these reasons I do not think the RAAF can or should completely abrogate its responsibilities regarding UAS.'

'Careful consideration of the scientific record suggests that whilst not all UAS have a ready explanation''''

'The RAAF has accumulated a series of UAS reports dating back to the 1960's...These may be accessed by researchers subject to them agreeing to respect the privacy of individuals who made the reports.'

p.46. Fax. From Directorate of Air Force Policy - AFPOL3 - Air Force Intelligence. To RAAF Intel Office Melbourne. 26 August 1993. Draft UAS policy as per pp 47-50.



p.45. Fax. From DOSS-AF Canberra to SQNLDR Gibson, 92 WG EDN. 16 August 1993. Draft UAS policy.

pp39-44. Minute. pp47-50 returned with hand written note 'Ok. Prepare brief for CAS and draft policy letter (?) me and DGPP.' DAFPOL.



p.38. Telex. From HQTC to HQFBN. 12 September 1993. Policy and procedures UAS likely to change in near future.

pp26-37. Brief for CAS. UAS policy. 15 October 1993. Changes necessary '...because of the reduced number of out of hours personnel at a number of bases. This has prompted a review of policy as it should apply across the RAAF.'



'There are two basic problems with the current policy:
a. It is impossible in assess in advance whether a sighting may have defence or security significance.
b. Resources devoted by RAAF to UAS investigations have dwindled over the years to the point that our stated commitment to investigate is not put into effect.'

p.25. Covering slip. 'Office of the Deputy Chief of the Air Staff. Handwritten note. 'CAS has agreed this as (amended?)'

p.24. 'Chief of the Air Staff. 19 October 1993.

pp21-23. DOD message form. 24 December 1993. From DEPAIR/DGPP to six telex numbers. UAS revised policy. Advising RAAF bases. 



pp12-20. Air Command. Air Staff Information No 3/A/5. 31 March 1989. 'Intelligence reports on Unusual Aerial Sightings.'

pp8-11. Letter from DOD Air Force Office (DODAFO)  dated 4 January 1994 to Australian Center for UFO Studies. Advising new policy.

p7. Letter. From DODAFO to UFO Research NSW dated 4 January 1994 advising of policy change.

pp2-6. Fax. From DAFI A- FPOL3. August 1993. To RAAF Intel Office Melbourne. Red ink stamped copy. 'Air Intelligence Office Melbourne. 27 August 1993. Apparently a copy of p46 plus draft policy.

p.1. Statement that all of 84/3508 is accounted for. 

My comments

1. This file appears to be a continuation of file series A703, control symbol 554/1/30 parts 1-3.

2. Why a 1984 file, which should by all rights, be in the National Archives of Australia, was re-numbered 2007/1008750 and held by DOD Archives, remains a mystery, as no new papers were added after 1994.

Cynics might suggest this was because the DOD' 'right hand' didn't know what the 'left hand' was doing. 

Conspiracy minded individuals might say it was because the DOD wished to keep the internal reasons for the change of policy to themselves. The fact that the policy was forwarded to RAAF bases on Xmas eve, could be said to argue for wishing to draw as little media attention to it as possible. Indeed the DOD didn't issue any media releases; it simply wrote to UAP groups.

Myself, I always default to the 'foul-up' rather than the 'cover-up.'

3. Paul Dean, wrote about his own FOIA efforts to learn about the reason for the 1994 policy change in a post on his blog, dated 21 February 2016, titled 'Significant release of Never-Before-Seen Australian government UFO policy...'

4. On a humorous note, see the logo below:


Update as at 10 October 2016

1. The Sydney Morning Herald newspaper has picked up the story, see:

http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/the-truth-is-not-out-there-how-the-australian-government-stopped-investigating-ufos-20161006-grwypx.html

2. The Department of Defence's FOI Act Disclosure Log now has a downloadable PDF copy of the actual DOD file. 


Saturday, October 1, 2016

Devoir de memorie - the duty of memory

Hi all,

Forbidden Science

I am currently reading a copy of Jacques Vallee's 'Forbidden Science: Volume Three - Journals 1980-1989 - On the Trail of Hidden Truths.' It was published, in 2016,  by Documatica Research, LLC. ISBN is 978-1-329-89437-2.

Image courtesy Amazon Books
In the introduction, Vallee writes 'The French call it Devoir de memoire, the duty of memory:anyone who lives through exceptional times, or has the privilege to work with exceptional people, should preserve the recollection of the thoughts, the deeds and even the feelings that characterised the era in question. It is only in this way that future researchers will be able to assess the testimony of contemporaries and verify key facts.'

It is in this spirit, assessing and verifying, that I will, in a series of blog posts, examine points of personal interest in this new book.


In an entry dated 26 January 1980, Vallee writes of a lunch with a college teacher named Tom Gates, and a journalist named Renwick Breck. Breck tells Vallee:

 '...about his experiences in Australia, where he was to report on the re-entry of Skylab. His adventures centred on Pine Gap, an American national security facility, that controls the orbital trajectories of spy satellites over the Southern hemisphere.'

'"Pine Gap does all sorts of things!" Ren said. "I found out it directed the Polaris submarines and ran experiments with particle beam weapons and Star Wars Platforms."

'Ren believes that a new phase of the discreet "cold" war in space has begun between the Soviets and us; their Soyouz space craft are suspected of carrying ant-satellite weapons. But there's more: "Pine Gap is hosting disk-shaped drones that may be used to direct particle beams towards specific targets," he told us, drawing donut-like objects on his napkin."They're often mistaken for flying saucers. They may be nothing more than big magnets, powered from the ground by an energy beam. Such weapons would change the balance , the nuclear stalemate, making atom bombs obsolete."

"So whatever happened to Skylab?" I asked. He laughed: "The damn thing came down in the middle of a news blackout. Imagine that! The communications workers of Australia went on strike just at the critical period. Guess who controls the Unions down there?"

I had no idea.

"The CIA, that's who! It was a very convenient strike. They did make one exception, to allow the broadcasting of the Miss World Pageant from Perth. For four days all you could see on TV from Australia was a bunch of bimbos in bathing suits. In the meantime Skylab crashed down, right smack on the highway to Pine Gap after narrowly missing two airliners Nasa hadn't bothered to warn. The world had been told that the final trajectory was unpredictable. What a joke! Tom here had computed it at the public planetarium in San Jose. The main safe from Skylab was picked up near the front door of the secret Pine Gap facility. Heavens knows what was inside. Nasa served as a cover for military experiments once again."'

Fact checking

So, what fact checking can be undertaken on the above story?

1. What is the function of Pine Gap?


An early shot of Pine Gap
The leading civilian authorities on the Pine Gap facility are Desmond Ball, Bill Robinson and Richard Tanter. Much of their work has been published via the 'Nautilus Institute for Security and Sustainability.'

These three authors, in a paper titled 'The SIGINT Satellites of Pine Gap. Conception, Development and in Orbit,' dated 15 October 2015, wrote as follows about the facility's function:

'Pine Gap's initial and still principal importance to the United States lies in its role as a ground control and processing station for geosynchronous sigint intelligence satellites...'

So, the statement in Vallee, that Pine Gap

 '...controls the orbital trajectories of spy satellites over the southern hemisphere.'

is partially correct, in that it does 'control,' but it also 'processes.' 

2. Did it run '...experiments with particle beam weapons and Star Wars Platforms?'

There is certainly much Internet material available today about exotic weapons and Pine Gap, e.g.
here and here

However, there is fewer sources speaking of this topic back in 1980. One Australian source is the book titled "The Cosmic Conspiracy" by American Stan Deyo. In the book, Deyo discusses, among other things, Pine Gap and UFOs. He reports sightings of strange objects around the facility. In addition he mentions rumours that the base had a large, nuclear power station plant; and worked with high voltage, high energy plasma accelerators.

The Cosmic Conspiracy - image courtesy Amazon Books
So, the statement in Vallee, attributed to Breck:

'...and ran experiments with particle beam weapons and Star Wars Platforms,'

cannot be confirmed or rejected.

3. Did Pine Gap host disk-shaped drones?

In 1980, the word 'drones' wasn't used terribly much; certainly not in terms we understand today, i.e. unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV.) A broad search failed to find any mention of Pine Gap and drones in 1979-1980.

So, the statement in Vallee, attributed to Breck that:

"Pine Gap is hosting disk-shaped drones...' cannot be confirmed or rejected.

Location of Pine Gap facility - image courtesy Google maps
4. (a) Did Skylab come down in the middle of a news-blackout? (b) Did the communications workers go out on strike?

a. I couldn't find anything on a total news-blackout for this era. Certainly, newspapers such as 'The Canberra Times' were being published during the period around the re-entry of Skylab. The TROVE digitised newspaper collection of the National Library of Australia has numerous newspaper items from 'The Canberra Times' about the re-entry. It could well be, however, that television was affected.

b. 'The Canberra Times' dated 10 July 1979, on page one, speaking of the Skylab re-entry, reports 'The only contingency which might cause some difficulty could be the effects of the telecommunication employees bans on equipment but this was not expected to be a major problem.'

So, the statement in Vallee, attributed to Breck, that:

'The damn thing came down in the middle of a news blackout. Imagine that! The communications workers of Australia went on strike just at the critical period,'

is partially correct.

5. Was there a Miss World Pageant on at the time?

The date of the Miss World Pageant 1979 was in fact the 15 November 1979, and the venue for the event was not Western Australia, but London, in the United Kingdom. 

I wondered if this might have been a mistaken reference to the Miss Universe event? I found that the 1979 Miss Universe event was held in Perth, Western Australia on 20 July 1979, The Skylab  re-entry was on 12 July 1979 (Australian time.)

So, the statement in Vallee, attributed to Breck that:

'They did make one exception, to allow the broadcasting of the Miss World Pageant from Perth. For four days all you could see on TV from Australia was a bunch of bimbos in bathing suits. In the meantime Skylab crashed down...'

is incorrect. There was no Miss World Pageant from Perth; and the re-entry was 8 days before the Miss Universe event. 

6. Did Skylab crash on the highway to Pine Gap?

According to media reports from 1979, the re-entry of Skylab occurred on 12 July 1979 at about 1.07am Western Australian time (equal to 11 July 1979 at 16:37 UTC.) As a double check I looked at a table titled 'Visually Observed Natural Re-entries of Earth Satellites' compiled by Canadian researcher Ted Molczan. He has the re-entry timed at 11 July 1979 at 16:33 UTC. 

According to Benson, C. and Compton W D. (1983) 'Living and Working in Space: A History of Skylab' (Washington DC) page 37, the debris field for Skylab was between Esperance, Western Australia ( latitude 33.86 degrees south; longitude 121.89 degrees east) and Rawlinna, Western Australia (latitude 30.76 degrees south; longitude 125.38 degrees east.) Pine Gap is at latitude  23.82 degrees south and longitude 133.73 degrees east.

Esperance and Rawlinna - image courtesy of Google maps
The direct line distance between Esperance and Pine Gap is approximately 1622 kilometres. The straight line distance between Rawlinna and Pine Gap is about 1145 kilometres.

So, the statement in Vallee, atrributed to Breck that:

'In the meantime Skylab crashed down, right smack on the highway to Pine Gap...'

is totally incorrect, according to NASA history, and contemporary newspaper accounts.

A second, small point is that there is no 'highway' to Pine Gap. Locals tell me that the road in 1979 was a standard bitumised, two lane; one in each direction; and not a 'highway.'

7. Did Skylab narrowly miss two airliners?

An Internet search revealed no such account. A search of 'The Canberra Times' newspaper's numerous stories on Skylab, also revealed no such accounts. Indeed, 'The Canberra Times;' dated 10 July 1979 stated that the Australian Department of Transport would declare a large area of airspace restricted, before the Skylab re-entry, to avoid just such a possibility. 

I did find a mention that '...and an airline pilot saw dozens of celestial firework-like flares.." as Skylab re-entered. This appears in Lewis, R S. 1984. 'The Voyages of Columbia.' New York. Columbia University Press. pp 80-82.

So, the statement in Vallee attributed to Breck, that:

'...after narrowly missing two airliners Nasa hadn't bothered to warn,'

appears incorrect.

8. Was the trajectory of Skylab unpredictable?

Time magazine, dated 16 July 1979, in an article titled 'Skylab's Fiery Fall,' mentions that NASA aimed to steer Skylab to a point in the ocean, some 810 miles SSE of Cape Town, South Africa, to avoid population centres.

Australian newspaper reports, such as 'The Canberra Times" dated 15 July 1979, page 4, provide further details:

Image courtesy TROVE digitised newspapers
Thus, the statement in Vallee, attributed to Breck, that:

'The world had been told that the final trajectory was unpredictable,'

is true.

9. Was the main safe from Skylab picked up near Pine Gap?

As mentioned before, bits of Skylab were picked up between 1145 and 1622 kilometres from Pine Gap. Although the trajectory, if extended backwards from Esperance to Rawlinna, does pass near Pine Gap, at what height did Skylab start to disintegrate?

 Lewis, R S. 1984. 'The Voyages of Columbia.' New York. Columbia University press. pp 80-82, provides the answer in that 'Analysis of some debris indicated that the Skylab station had disintegrated 10 miles above the Earth...'

If this is correct, then when it was 10 miles above the Earth it couldn't have been near Pine Gap, so no 'main safe' could have fallen near Pine Gap.

Thus the statement in Vallee, attributed to Breck that:

'The main safe from Skylab was picked up near the front door of the secret Pine Gap facility,'
appears incorrect.

In summary

Here is a tantilising tale from journalist Renwick Breck told to, and recorded by, Jacques Vallee in 1980. 

At first glance, it seems to be a story of Skylab crashing down near a Top Secret US facility in Australia, with its main safe intact; complete with stories of particle beam experiments at the base.

However, when fact checked, we find some statements to be true; eg there was a beauty contest in July 1979 in Perth. Other statements such as Skylab crashing near Pine Gap, seem untrue. Finally, the more extreme statements that Pine Gap was hosting disk-shaped drones and conducting experiments with particle beam weapons, are in the end unable to be confirmed or rejected.

All in all, one has to be very wary of accepting the totality of such accounts despite the apparent sincerity of the teller of the tale, in this instance, journalist Renwick Breck.

Would any reader care to comment on this story?

Sunday, September 25, 2016

UFOs: An anfractuous phenomenon - part 3

UFOs: An anfractuous phenomenon
Keith Basterfield

I recently presented this talk to UFO Research (NSW). They have uploaded it to YouTube. You will find it at:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2kt0_gPZkc


B3: Now to take a look at my own methodology

  • Perhaps the most important single thing to me, is that although the witness owns the story, it is the investigator who extracts the data, e.g. compass directions, angular size; angular velocity. The investigator then reconstructs the event, based on the data gathered from the witness. In some cases the investigator and the witness may never agree as to the cause of the sighting
Interviewing witnesses
I attempt to locate additional witnesses, eg an appeal in the media, by conducting a doorknock, or by using Facebook. Independent observations may triangulate the path of an object
  • USAF Project Blue Book consultant Allan Hynek wrote two things which I always remember:

“The problem is compounded by the fact that most UFO reports are frustrating in the extreme. They contain so few facts.”

and

“In terms of scientific study, the only significant UFO reports are…UFO reports that remain puzzling after competent investigation has been conducted.”

  • I am analytical- I attempt first to find a conventional explanation for the event. When I can’t do this, then the report becomes interesting
  • Contrary to what some people may think, I actually enter the investigation of any sighting with no bias – I have no-preconception of the outcome of any particular observation – I follow the evidence to deduce a cause for the sighting
  • I offer out of the square thinking in some cases
  • I examine every avenue – I try and locate witnesses today, to see if they still hold any original documentation, eg. notebook, diary
  • I look to locate original ufo group documentation – eg Journals, Newsletters, magazines, and particularly recorded original interviews between witness and investigator. For example, I recently located a copy of the original audio interview of Maureen Puddy, who reported two major sightings which I cannot explain, near Frankston, Victoria
A rare copy of the Australian UFO Report
After my investigation, I look to put forward an hypothesis, as to the cause of the sighting for discussion, peer review, and debate. Remember that an hypothesis is merely that, an idea, not a definitive statement.

Paul Dean and I did this with the 11 May 2015 sighting at Blue haven, New South Wales. A witness sighted an unusual object at 2pm. It was hovering over power lines. We hypothesised that the object may have been a helicopter. The use of the WebTrak aircraft tracking website found that there was indeed a helicopter travelling along the coastline northwards in the direction of Blue Haven.
The blue cross is a helicopter heading north
On 29 May 2015 a Townsville resident reported seeing three oval/circles of light in clouds. My hypothesis was that the lights were searchlights.
One of the Townsville photographs

On 23 August 2015, a woman driving through Point Cook in Melbourne, reported a strange shiny, ring like object, in the sky. Weather data suggested it was wind borne debris of some kind.

Bureau of Meteorology weather data
Sometimes, other people agree with your hypothesis, sometimes other people disagree. This is all part of the peer review process which the scientific approach uses.

To summarise my methodology. All in all, my process is collection, collation, interpretation, dissemination, and debate.


SECTION C:  THE LAST TWELVE MONTHS OF SIGHTINGS LISTINGS

The next section of my talk, themed investigations, is to take a look at raw data from Australia.

At the September 2014 VUFOA conference, I suggested that we needed to compile Australian national level sighting reports and take a look at them to see what the big picture was. Paul Dean and I took up the challenge and for the last 12 months, with the assistance of Australian UFO groups and individuals have been compiling and widely publishing monthly listings of Australian reports.
An example of the listings
When publishing the listings, Paul and I deliberately made no effort to assign a possible interpretation as to the case of each report. However, I have now been through the listings recently and made my own rough assessment of the several hundred or so individual reports, over the last 12 months.

As has been shown time and time again, many of our several hundred raw reports are explainable in conventional terms. We have observations of satellites; planets; wind borne debris; computer generated fake images; Venus and Jupiter; fireballs; aircraft; sundogs  etc etc.

On the negative side, much of the material and particularly that coming in via Youtube and other social media, is of little value to the serious study of UFOs, because no one analyses it!

On the positive side, the more interesting reports, as for many years, continue to come from rural and isolated areas.

For example,

In February 2014, a lone yachtsman off the coast of Tasmania, reported seeing a white to gray coloured, cigar shaped object, with associated lights, near his boat. The object moved away and was lost to view into a cloud.
The Tasmanian sailor's report
However, some of the more apparently spectacular reports cannot be followed up as the witness did not provide contact details.

For example, in November 2014, a man reported that an egg shaped object fell from the sky and impacted the ground in Queensland. He said that three fire trucks turned up to fight the resultant fire. He did not leave any contact details. It remains to be seen whether or not this was a genuine report or a hoax.

There are other seemingly interesting reports which lie in the US MUFON database, but come from Australia. As these reports, when investigated, go to MUFON in America, we are not able to judge their value to us.
Sample page from the MUFON CMS
SECTION D: A PATH TO THE FUTURE

In the final part of my talk I would like to explore a number of areas concerning the theme of investigations and make some observations, and recommendations for the future.

Firstly, electronic databases.

There are a number of civilian UFO groups, both here in Australia and overseas who use electronic databases to collect details of raw observations from the general public. The raw content of each report is usually able to be accessed by anyone, excluding witness details. You can even open submitted photographs and videos on some databases.

What I have noticed,  is that local and overseas researchers who publish blogs and have websites, often extract these raw sightings from such databases and publish them within a day or two of the witness submitting the raw report. They do so, almost invariably without checking any facts about the event, even whether or not it seems a hoax. This is unfortunate, for if later on, a competent investigation determines a mundane cause for the event; this fact is often lost. The original, often distorted version of the event is out there in cyber space.

Besides a later finding of a possible mundane cause for the event, there is also the possibility of a hoax. It is all too easy with a few key strokes, to report a spectacular hoax case to these databases.

I suspect, on the basis of 100% knowing that some recent Australian database reported events were definitely hoaxes, that there are more hoaxed cases in databases than we would care to admit. And no, I haven’t been the one who has been submitting these hoaxes!

I would recommend that we discontinue placing raw reports in publicly available databases.

As regards the national monthly listings, I recently conducted a survey of the three dozen individuals who receive them directly. I asked questions such as, are the listings of value to people? The consistent answer was yes they are. I asked should we report only investigated reports. The answer was people would like to see raw as well as investigated reports, if Paul and I have the time to continue gathering all these.

Secondly, the Australian national level sightings reports listings have clearly shown that today, Australian UFO groups and individual researchers are more likely to publish sightings on their website in raw, rather than investigated form. It is clearly less labour intensive to simply repeat what a witness reports than to spend time investigating it. In my view,

We seem to have lost the desire to actively investigate incoming reports.

Perhaps we should not expect a UFO group, which has been in existence for decades, to investigate reports anymore. After all, if they know that the UFO phenomenon is due to extra-terrestrial visitation, why would they investigate new reports? But if so, following this logic, why do such groups still collect any reports? Why do they bother?

I would recommend that each Australian group needs to have an investigation cell, whose job it is to follow up incoming sightings, investigate and document them, and then publish full investigation reports. Few Australian groups are doing this today. Indeed we have no UFO group in the whole of Western Australia.

Thirdly, notwithstanding that you publish cases in your own group’s newsletter, blog or magazine,

I would recommend that you also submit full investigation reports to Rob Frola at the UFOlogist magazine.

This would provide you with a broader outlet for your material.

Fourthly, as to scientific consultants. As I mentioned earlier, years ago, most Australian groups each had a number of scientific consultants in fields such as astronomy, physics and meteorology. Today there are almost none of these consultants. I would recommend that we need a national pool of such consultants, accessible to all Australian groups and serious individuals.

I would recommend that a discussion commence among groups to prepare a list of such consultants which we already have, and to seek new ones. I would also recommend that all investigated and documented unknown cases, be submitted to such a panel, for peer review before publication.

Fifthly, as happened in the 1970’s through to the 2000’s, the Australian monthly reports listings have shown that the more interesting cases come from rural and regional Australia. However, most UFO groups here that I have spoken to, have lost their contacts in these areas.

I recommend that groups, initiate a media campaign in rural and regional Australia seeking witnesses to sightings, to come forward and report them to us.

Finally, I would urge MUFON in the US to make available to the general research community in Australia, MUFON’s investigated Australian cases. Today, some Australian cases are looked at in this country but fed back to the US, where they are not available to anyone not associated with MUFON.

I would recommend that MUFON’s current Australian national director take up this issue with MUFON Headquarters in the US and advise us of the outcome.

 IN SUMMARY:

There is clearly a wide spectrum of belief systems in the Australian UFO research community, and this is clearly reflected on what you can find on the Internet.  

On a recent count, I found 38 Australian Facebook pages, discussing in part, Australian UFO sightings. Most spent hardly any time on analysing and investigating these reports. A fact I find discouraging for serious research into the phenomenon.

I put myself squarely in the scientific ufology end of the spectrum. I believe in evidence based research, no matter what conclusion this leads you towards.

While I respect the views of others who sit at other places on the spectrum, I don’t necessarily have to agree with these views.

In closing, let me return to my use of the word anfractuous in the title of this talk.

The UFO phenomenon, and research in to it, is full of twists and turns. I think this is nicely summed up by a quote by US researcher John B Alexander who said:

Front cover of Alexander's book
 “I conclude that the UFO observations are manifestations of issues that are anfractuous and beyond current comprehension.”

To which I would add, perhaps beyond current comprehension, but that doesn’t mean that we should give up trying to understand in the future.  

2016 update

I gave this talk in 2016 to UFO Research (NSW) Incorporated. You may watch it at:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2kt0_gPZkc

UFOs: An anfractuous phenomenon - part 2

UFOs: An anfractuous phenomenon
Keith Basterfield
Part two

I recently presented this talk to UFO Research (NSW) Incorporated. They have just uploaded it to Youtube. You will find it at:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2kt0_gPZkc
Section A3 – what about private enterprise?

Over the years, several aerospace companies have investigated the phenomenon. Perhaps the biggest study was the one conducted by McDonnell-Douglas for USM$1/2. They invested this money on the hope of discovering clues to advanced propulsion systems used by UFOs, which they could then duplicate. They studied reports from witnesses; reviewed the UFO literature; and even created a purpose built UFO detection van to undertake trips within the US to attempt to directly observe the phenomenon.
Front cover of McDonnell-Douglas report
Ultimately though, this work did not lead to any break throughs.


Section A4 – Finally, global civilian UFO groups

There have been a large number of civilian UFO groups who have attempted to collect UFO reports on a global scale. In former years APRO and NICAP spring to mind. Today, perhaps the most well-known is MUFON based in the USA. There are also organisations which focus on one specific facet of the phenomenon, such as NARCAP.
NARCAP website
I would next like to take a look at the investigation aspects of some of the cases reported by civilian researchers.

Case one:

Captain Ray Bowyer, a pilot of 5000 flying hours experience was piloting a passenger plane when, in April 2007, while crossing the English Channel, he and his passengers saw two unidentified objects. These objects were also apparently picked up on ground radar from two locations, and one object was observed by another pilot from a different position.

On a clear afternoon they saw a brilliant yellow light close to the horizon, where none should have been. Viewed through binoculars it looked like a thin cigar with a ratio, of length to width, of 15 to one. It had sharply defined edges and pointed ends. A second identical shape was then seen at a distance beyond the first. They were lost to view, when the plane began to land.

Investigation:

The pilot reported the incident to the English Civil Aviation Authority. However, it was UFO researchers who made a detailed study. They studied the visual observations and air traffic control radar, plus weather data. A search of the available weather radar data found nothing that was clearly anomalous.

An examination of the air traffic control radar data also turned up no clear evidence of anomalous propagation that day. The radar evidence was not useful in establishing the presence of unusual phenomenon. They considered such explanations as sundog, subsun, sun ray patches on the sea, aircraft contrails, specular greenhouse reflections, but none was a definitive explanation for the observations.

Case two:

On 7 November 2006 a number of reliable airline employees and others, reported seeing a round, revolving, grey coloured, metallic appearing object hovering over the O’Hare Airport, Chicago in the US. Based on the known height of the cloud base, the object was at a height of less than 1900 feet. It was there for at least three minutes. It departed at speed, apparently causing a hole to form in the cloud cover.

Investigation:

NARCAP investigated. FOI was used to obtain some of the documentation.

They obtained eyewitness testimony from ground witnesses. Recorded conversations on inbound controller tapes were obtained. FAA tower controllers did not see the object and the FAA stated that, nothing was observed on radar.

Their opinion was that it was a weather phenomenon. Explanations examined included that it was a weather balloon; a US military stealth aircraft; a lenticular cloud; or a helicopter.

However in the end NARCAP was unable to assign any mundane explanation to the event. It remained an unknown object.

Case three:

Between 6-6.25pm on 8 January 2008, a number of citizens of Stephenville, Texas, in the USA reported sighting a UFO. It was described as very bright, large and silent.

Investigation:

MUFON investigated this event, which was part of a much larger set of observations extending weeks. MUFON members interviewed numerous witnesses and obtained radar data from five different radar sites. MUFON stated that the radar data indicated the presence of two unknown objects.
From the MUFON report on Stephenville
SECTION B: Australian approaches to investigation

B1: Firstly, the Royal Australian Air Force

The Royal Australian Air Force and other areas of the Department of Defence looked into the subject of UFOs between around 1951 and the mid 1990’s. The RAAF was the only officially nominated area of the Australian government to receive and investigate reports from the public, pilots and air traffic controllers as well as its own personnel.

Other Australian government departments did maintain files on UFOs, but these were almost exclusively administration type files. The former Department of Civil Aviation was a notable exception, as numerous documents on its own files, refer to sighting reports.

The RAAF collected reports of sightings, and attempted to attribute a cause to the observation, via a network of base level, intelligence officers. However, it rarely launched major investigations, or reacted immediately, to incoming UFO reports whatever their nature. There were however, a few instances where RAAF aircraft were despatched to check out reported UFOs.

Flt Lt Biddington was sent to Bendigo to investigate sightings
Essentially, RAAF investigation findings, were that the vast majority of reports could be explained in mundane terms and that the percentage of “unknowns” in their files was in the neighbourhood of 3-4% of all incoming reports. There was no known major scientific investigation of UFOs by the Australian government.

We do know that at the time of the Condon report, the CSIRO were asked by one civilian organisation, if they would establish a similar scientific research study here in Australia. They declined.

Today, no Australian government agency admits to openly studying the subject of UFOs.

However, Paul Dean and I, in our correspondence and FOI requests, to such areas of government as the Australian Transport Safety Bureau or Air Services Australia, over the last two years, have demonstrated that interesting reports continue to be made to such agencies. However, despite such reports as the 19 March 2014 Perth near miss, between a civilian airline and an unknown object, no one officially admits that any of these could be potential UFO reports.


B2: Now to civilian groups

Within Australia there has been civilian interest in the subject of UFOs since 1947. Formal groups entered the picture at the beginning of the 1950’s and continue today. Both state and national level UFO groups have existed; and continue to exist today, a testimony to the long lasting interest among numerous individuals over the last 68 years.

At times, over the years we have had a number of national level groups, with acronyms such as AFSRS; CAPIO, UFORA, ACUFOS and AUFORN. Here, investigation methods have been to attempt to capture, collate and analyse incoming reports at a national level. Volunteers at local and state level take to the field to interview witnesses, document their findings and post them upwards.

I would like to take a moment to talk about the current status of AUFORN. The Australian UFO Research Network has had a lengthily involvement with Australian research. At times it has been supported by the majority of civilian UFO groups in this country. It has conducted in-depth investigations; funded conferences and published sightings, investigated through a national level, free call telephone hotline. A while ago I asked Daniel Sims Co-facilitator of AUFORN to pen some words for me about the current status of AUFORN in order for me to present them here.
AUFORN website
“AUFORN has undergone some significant changes in the last three years. It is currently overseen by myself and Robert Frola. We are and always will be a non-profit organisation…A lot of people come and go, and chose to volunteer in participating in investigations when they have time…Like most organisations, we do not pay for people’s research or pay them to carry out investigations…

AUFORN is now consolidated with our UFOlogist magazine. So, in return for people providing their efforts, we provide the opportunity for our volunteers to have their sightings, research, or articles, published, promoted and fully credited to them…

Many other groups become very busy…and slowly stop supplying investigations or articles…we understand they have a commitment to their own groups…we respect that. However we will continue to encourage that they provide material in order to maximise the success of UFO and paranormal research in Australia…AUFORN has restructured its operative model in order to become the tool that others can utilise to keep the information flowing.

The 1800 sightings report hotline unfortunately has now come to an end…we have reluctantly had to close down the free call report line…we ran the free call number for over 10 years…It was receiving approximately 60 to 80 calls per month for many years, then slowly decreased as social media became a prominent source for communications…

This is what we are here for. To enable others to supply articles, research and investigation reports so we can completely pack our magazine with Australian content and in return, giving any group or researcher full credit and publication for their efforts…”

Moving away from AUFORN, beside verbal interviews, in the past, a number of groups undertook some basic scientific analysis of trace cases, utilising such diverse techniques as magnetic signatures of motor vehicles; soil analysis; photographic analysis, and thermoluminescence.

Many of you in the audience are probably unaware of many of these scientific efforts, for they were most heavily undertaken in the 1970’s and 1980’s when many groups had regular scientific consultants, who quietly accessed work equipment for their personal use.

Today we have few reported vehicle interference cases, and the majority of UFO group members would have no idea how to conduct a motor vehicle signature test. Similarly, with almost no ground trace cases, few would have the skills of how to take relevant soil samples. I believe you could count on one hand, the number of scientific consultants available to Australian UFO groups today.

I think it would be fair to say that most Australian civilian UFO groups, in my opinion, have lost their capacity to do any real science on UFO cases.

Let’s take a look at a few Australian case examples, and what investigative tools were used:

Case one:

At nine pm one night a man was driving a vehicle near Liverpool Creek, in Far North Queensland. He noted a dull white light, apparently sitting on the side of the road. As his vehicle drew closer, he saw the object was a dark, beehive shape. This rose vertically into the sky. His car’s headlights, dashboard lights and engine failed. He stopped his car. The vehicle’s headlights, and dashboard lights came back on of their own accord. He was then able to restart the car’s engine.
Magnetic signature check by UFOR (FNQ)

Investigation:

A very competent investigation was conducted by UFO Research FNQ. The witness was interviewed and the car and site of the encounter examined. A magnetic signature test of the car was carried out. The same test was conducted on a control vehicle, both Ford Falcon station wagons. The magnetic field of both vehicles was similar, suggesting that the witness’ vehicle had not been exposed to a high intensity magnetic field.

Case two:

Four people in three separate vehicles, travelling independently of each other, on a remote stretch of road, near Kimba, South Australia, all saw an unusual object on the side of the road.

They all described seeing an orange-red coloured, rectangular shape, three metres high by 1.5m wide. Inside the rectangle, floated a white space suited figure. None of the occupants of the vehicles stopped to investigate, but all reported the bizarre encounter to the local police.

Investigation:

The local police were out at the site of the encounter about an hour after it happened and inspected the area, but could find nothing out of order at the site. Together with three others I went to Kimba, interviewed the two main witnesses; interviewed the police constable involved; obtained copies of the statements of one of the other witnesses, and later received a letter from the fourth witness. We also went to the site and inspected it. An unusual event for which I do not have a conventional explanation.
Kimba - on site with the local police
Case three:

The crew of a charter aircraft flying between Adelaide and Perth, was at 8000 feet, flying at a speed of 190 knots, tracking 270 degrees at 1740hrs local time. Both pilots saw a large object and 4-5 smaller objects ahead of the plane, at their flight level. A check with ground control revealed that there was no known traffic in the area. Then radio communications between the plane and the ground were lost for some time.

Over ten minutes the pilots watched the formation of objects. Finally, all the objects merged and left at speed. Radio communications were then restored. The weather was fine at the time.

Investigation:

The details of their observations was documented by the pilots in writing and submitted to both the RAAF and to the civilian UFO group VUFORS. The RAAF undertook a cursory investigation but published no findings. VUFORS did not manage to interview either pilot.

Here we have a long duration visual observation of a group of unusual objects, although no radar confirmation, by two experienced pilots.
The actual aircraft involved in the encounter
I tracked down one of the pilots a couple of years ago and spoke to him. He was still as puzzled by the event, as he had been at the time.

Case four:

Four people from one family were travelling together by car across the Nullarbor Plains. An unidentified light approached their car and over a period of time they reported, a car tyre exploded; a mist entered the windows; they felt unusual; they noted odd smells. Later they reported finding a black dust inside the car, and on the outside of the vehicle. They believed a UFO had lifted them off the road.

Investigation:

Investigations were conducted by civilian UFO groups; and the South Australian and West Australian police forces, plus one Adelaide based television station.

UFO researchers, including myself interviewed the family involved; and three truck drivers who were travelling along the same road. The TV station had the Australian Mineral Development Laboratory examine the car. No unusual radiation readings were detected. AMDEL concluded that the dust found was typical dust, from wearing brake pads and discs. The burst tyre was due to the tyre having been underinflated.

As part of the investigations, I secured part of a sample of dust from the roof of the car, which had been taken by the South Australian police by a forensic detective. Analysis revealed simply salt and clay particles, consistent with a car driving along the Nullarbor Plains, by the great southern ocean. US researcher, Dr Richard Haines also analysed samples of internal floor dust and concluded that it consisted of particles, found in abundance on the Earth’s surface.

Case five:

At 0913hrs on 19 March 2014, a passenger aircraft was on descent to Perth International airport when the crew reported an approaching unidentified object.
The aircraft involved in a near-miss near Perth
At 4000 feet, the crew managed to manoeuvre the plane to avoid a perceived collision with the object. The Australian Transport Safety Bureau’s report on the incident called the object an “unknown.”

Investigation:

Between Paul Dean and I, we interviewed the pilot; obtained weather details; got primary and secondary radar data; and submitted Freedom of Information requests to the Australian Transport Safety Bureau, Air Services Australia and the Department of Defence.

The object was not picked up on radar, either by the plane or the ground. The object did not trigger the aircraft’s Transponder Collision Avoidance System.

In summary, in my opinion, Australian civilian UFO research organisations, in general, have gone backwards in terms of their investigatory capacity.
(Continued in part 3.)

2016 update

I gave this talk in 2016 to UFO Research (NSW) Incorporated. You may watch it as:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S2kt0_gPZkc

A blog update

Thank you to all those blog readers who have contacted me privately, to enquire as to why there has been no blog posts for several months. T...